Every call the model makes, kept and graded.
ThunderModel puts every call in one place: the side, the price and the book. After the game, each one is graded against the score and the closing line, and nothing is re-written.
From the board to the grade
ThunderModel is a fixed rule applied to the odds board. The same board always produces the same call, and every call is kept and scored.
Three markets per game
For each game, the model looks at the moneyline, the spread and the total. Each market gets a bet, a lean or nothing.
A call you can act on
Each bet names the side, the price and the book to take it at. The Upcoming tab lists the picks still on the board.
Graded after the game
Each pick is graded won, lost or push at 1 unit and checked against the closing line. The Results tab keeps the full record.
A model you can check
No hand-picked highlights. Every call is on the page, and every call is graded.
Most markets get nothing
Most markets on most nights get no call at all, and the page shows that too. A model that always has a call is not a model.
The side, the price and the book
A call tells you what to take and where. v2 picks also show the edge and how long the pick has been on the board, and some games come with a short written explanation. Picks show up close to tip and often don't last long, because the price moves.
Graded after every game
The Results tab shows units at 1 unit per pick, the record, ROI and how often picks beat the closing line, over 7, 30 or 90 days, with a cumulative units chart. Only picks posted before the game count. Swings are normal, and the page says so: a record means little until it covers a few hundred picks.
Leans, graded on their own
A lean is the model's direction on a market that is not a bet. Leans are graded in their own bucket so you can check them, but they are not meant to be bet. A model picker switches between ThunderModel v2, the default, and v1.
Frequently asked questions
ThunderModel is every call our model makes, in one place, graded after the game against the score and the closing line. It is a fixed rule applied to the odds board, so the same board always produces the same call, and every call is kept and scored.
For each game the model looks at three markets: moneyline, spread and total. Each one gets a bet, a lean or nothing, and most markets on most nights get nothing. A model that always has a call is not a model.
A bet is a pick: the side, the price and the book to take it at. A lean is the model's direction on a market that is not a bet. Leans are graded in their own bucket so you can check them, but they are not meant to be bet.
Each pick is graded won, lost or push at 1 unit and checked against the closing line. The record only counts picks posted before the game, and nothing is re-written after the fact. Swings are normal, and a record means little until it covers a few hundred picks.
MLB, NBA, WNBA, NFL, NHL, college football and college basketball, among others.
ThunderModel is included with Premium.
A second opinion, graded
Use ThunderModel next to Tonight's sharp read: one more view on the game, with every call kept and graded. Included with Premium.