Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots line history

Spread: opener vs now at every book

Opened New England Patriots -1.5 at DraftKings, Aug 5, 5:03 PM ET. Market now: New England Patriots -3.

Spread moves, in order

1. New England Patriots -1.5 → New England Patriots -3: DraftKings moved first, Oct 27, 3:57 PM ET.
   Followed by Caesars (24 min later), FanDuel (17h 14m later).
2. New England Patriots -3 → New England Patriots -2.5: FanDuel moved first, Oct 29, 9:13 AM ET.
   Followed by Caesars (6 min later).
3. New England Patriots -3 → New England Patriots -2.5: DraftKings moved first, Nov 1, 6:02 PM ET.
   Followed by Caesars (8h 49m later), BetRivers (21h 19m later), BetMGM (38h 26m later), Fanatics (39h 50m later).
4. New England Patriots -2.5 → New England Patriots -3: DraftKings moved first, Nov 1, 9:22 PM ET.
   Followed by Caesars (24 min later), Bally Bet (13h 41m later), betPARX (13h 41m later), Hard Rock Bet (13h 41m later), ESPN BET (13h 41m later), BetRivers (13h 48m later), BetMGM (14h 5m later), FanDuel (40h 18m later), Fanatics (40h 18m later).
5. New England Patriots -2.5 → New England Patriots -3.5: Fliff moved first, Nov 4, 8:39 AM ET.
   Followed by DraftKings (8h 21m later), ESPN BET (8h 39m later), BetMGM (9h 3m later).
6. New England Patriots -3.5 → New England Patriots -3: DraftKings moved first, Nov 4, 5:06 PM ET.
   Followed by ESPN BET (19h 34m later), BetMGM (19h 46m later).

Total: opener vs now at every book

Opened 46.5 at DraftKings, Aug 5, 5:03 PM ET. Market now: 44.5 total.

Total moves, in order

1. 46.5 → 47.5: DraftKings moved first, Oct 27, 3:57 PM ET.
   Followed by Caesars (2 days later).
2. 46.5 → 47.5: FanDuel moved first, Oct 30, 5:52 PM ET.
   Followed by BetRivers (within a minute), Bally Bet (within a minute), betPARX (within a minute), DraftKings (2 days later).
3. 47.5 → 46.5: DraftKings moved first, Nov 2, 10:04 AM ET.
   Followed by FanDuel (7h 30m later), ESPN BET (7h 30m later), Fanatics (10h 10m later), Fliff (16h later), Hard Rock Bet (17h 30m later), BetMGM (29h 19m later), Caesars (2 days later), BetRivers (2 days later), Bally Bet (2 days later), betPARX (2 days later).
4. 47.5 → 47: BetMGM moved first, Nov 2, 10:04 AM ET.
   Followed by Caesars (1h 47m later), BetRivers (4h 54m later), Bally Bet (4h 54m later), betPARX (4h 54m later).
5. 46.5 → 46: BetMGM moved first, Nov 4, 5:18 PM ET.
   Followed by Caesars (5 min later), BetRivers (23 min later), Bally Bet (23 min later), betPARX (23 min later), Hard Rock Bet (23 min later), Fanatics (23 min later).
6. 46.5 → 45.5: DraftKings moved first, Nov 4, 5:42 PM ET.
   Followed by BetMGM (within a minute), Fanatics (17 min later), Caesars (13h 34m later), FanDuel (16h 4m later), Hard Rock Bet (17h 40m later), ESPN BET (18h 4m later), Bally Bet (18h 40m later), BetRivers (18h 46m later), betPARX (18h 46m later).
7. 45.5 → 45: BetMGM moved first, Nov 5, 12:29 PM ET.
   Followed by Fanatics (17 min later), Caesars (4h 31m later), Hard Rock Bet (4h 31m later).
8. 45.5 → 44.5: ESPN BET moved first, Nov 5, 12:41 PM ET.
   Followed by BetMGM (12 min later), DraftKings (4h 19m later), FanDuel (5h 54m later), Fanatics (5h 54m later).

Moneyline: sportsbooks, exchanges and prediction markets

Best Green Bay Packers price: +150 at ESPN BET. Best New England Patriots price: -164 at BetMGM. ProphetX with the margin removed: Green Bay Packers 38.9%, New England Patriots 61.1%.

Implied probability includes each venue's margin. Exchange and prediction-market prices are before their fees.