UL Monroe Warhawks at Arkansas State Red Wolves line history

Spread: opener vs now at every book

Opened Arkansas State Red Wolves -14.5 at DraftKings, Nov 1, 11:31 AM ET. Market now: Arkansas State Red Wolves -14.5.

Spread moves, in order

1. Arkansas State Red Wolves -14.5 → Arkansas State Red Wolves -15: Bally Bet moved first, Nov 2, 5:35 PM ET.
   Followed by betPARX (within a minute), BetRivers (within a minute).
2. Arkansas State Red Wolves -15 → Arkansas State Red Wolves -14.5: Bally Bet moved first, Nov 5, 8:41 AM ET.
   Followed by betPARX (within a minute), BetRivers (within a minute), ESPN BET (12h 21m later).

Total: opener vs now at every book

Opened 51.5 at DraftKings, Nov 1, 11:31 AM ET. Market now: 52.5 total.

Total moves, in order

1. 52.5 → 51.5: Caesars moved first, Nov 1, 3:45 PM ET.
   Followed by BetMGM (within a minute), Bally Bet (25h 50m later), betPARX (25h 50m later), BetRivers (25h 50m later), Hard Rock Bet (25h 50m later).
2. 52 → 52.5: Fanatics moved first, Nov 1, 4:03 PM ET.
   Followed by DraftKings (53 min later), ESPN BET (53 min later), BetMGM (53 min later), Bally Bet (32h 22m later), betPARX (32h 22m later), BetRivers (32h 22m later), Hard Rock Bet (32h 22m later).
3. 52.5 → 53.5: FanDuel moved first, Nov 2, 7:45 PM ET.
   Followed by DraftKings (4h 40m later), ESPN BET (4h 40m later), BetMGM (4h 40m later).
4. 51.5 → 53: Caesars moved first, Nov 3, 12:26 AM ET.
   Followed by Fanatics (within a minute).
5. 53.5 → 52.5: ESPN BET moved first, Nov 5, 3:13 PM ET.
   Followed by FanDuel (1h 59m later).

Moneyline: sportsbooks, exchanges and prediction markets

Best UL Monroe Warhawks price: +530 at FanDuel. Best Arkansas State Red Wolves price: -667 at BetMGM. Novig with the margin removed: UL Monroe Warhawks 14.9%, Arkansas State Red Wolves 85.1%.

Implied probability includes each venue's margin. Exchange and prediction-market prices are before their fees. Every College Football game: prediction markets vs sportsbooks.