TCU Horned Frogs at Arizona Wildcats line history

Spread: opener vs now at every book

Opened Arizona Wildcats -9.5 at DraftKings, Nov 1, 1:47 AM ET. Market now: Arizona Wildcats -7.5.

Spread moves, in order

1. Arizona Wildcats -9.5 → Arizona Wildcats -8.5: DraftKings moved first, Nov 1, 1:29 AM ET.
   Followed by Fanatics (3h 54m later), BetMGM (13h 45m later), betPARX (17h 47m later), Bally Bet (17h 47m later), BetRivers (17h 47m later), Hard Rock Bet (17h 47m later), Fliff (26h 5m later), FanDuel (37h 59m later), ESPN BET (2 days later).
2. Arizona Wildcats -9.5 → Arizona Wildcats -9: Fanatics moved first, Nov 1, 3:23 AM ET.
   Followed by BetMGM (14h 39m later), betPARX (36h 41m later), Bally Bet (36h 41m later), BetRivers (36h 41m later), Caesars (39h 1m later).
3. Arizona Wildcats -7.5 → Arizona Wildcats -8.5: FanDuel moved first, Nov 1, 8:48 AM ET.
   Followed by Fanatics (2 days later).
4. Arizona Wildcats -8.5 → Arizona Wildcats -9.5: Fanatics moved first, Nov 1, 11:30 AM ET.
   Followed by Fliff (3h 31m later), DraftKings (3h 50m later), Caesars (3h 50m later), BetMGM (4h 2m later), FanDuel (4h 25m later), BetRivers (6h 32m later), betPARX (6h 38m later), Bally Bet (6h 38m later), ESPN BET (2 days later), Hard Rock Bet (2 days later).
5. Arizona Wildcats -8.5 → Arizona Wildcats -9: BetMGM moved first, Nov 1, 3:21 PM ET.
   Followed by Fanatics (45h 19m later).
6. Arizona Wildcats -8.5 → Arizona Wildcats -10.5: Hard Rock Bet moved first, Nov 1, 6:02 PM ET.
   Followed by betPARX (19h 8m later), BetRivers (19h 8m later), Bally Bet (19h 14m later).
7. Arizona Wildcats -10.5 → Arizona Wildcats -9.5: Hard Rock Bet moved first, Nov 1, 6:08 PM ET.
   Followed by BetRivers (19h 8m later), betPARX (2 days later), Bally Bet (2 days later).
8. Arizona Wildcats -8.5 → Arizona Wildcats -10: Bally Bet moved first, Nov 2, 1:10 PM ET.
   Followed by BetRivers (17 min later), betPARX (24h 30m later).
9. Arizona Wildcats -10.5 → Arizona Wildcats -10: betPARX moved first, Nov 2, 1:28 PM ET.
   Followed by Bally Bet (within a minute).
10. Arizona Wildcats -8.5 → Arizona Wildcats -8: Fanatics moved first, Nov 2, 6:36 PM ET.
    Followed by betPARX (2 days later), Bally Bet (2 days later), BetRivers (2 days later).
11. Arizona Wildcats -9.5 → Arizona Wildcats -8.5: Fliff moved first, Nov 4, 3:51 AM ET.
    Followed by BetMGM (4h 30m later), FanDuel (6h 42m later), Caesars (7h 56m later), ESPN BET (8h 2m later).
12. Arizona Wildcats -8.5 → Arizona Wildcats -7.5: FanDuel moved first, Nov 4, 7:06 PM ET.
    Followed by DraftKings (7 min later), Fanatics (7 min later), ESPN BET (7 min later), Fliff (7 min later), Caesars (7 min later), BetMGM (7 min later), Hard Rock Bet (2h 18m later), betPARX (14h 34m later), Bally Bet (14h 34m later), BetRivers (14h 34m later).
13. Arizona Wildcats -9.5 → Arizona Wildcats -9: betPARX moved first, Nov 4, 7:18 PM ET.
    Followed by Bally Bet (within a minute).
14. Arizona Wildcats -7.5 → Arizona Wildcats -8: betPARX moved first, Nov 5, 5:06 PM ET.
    Followed by Bally Bet (within a minute), BetRivers (within a minute).

Total: opener vs now at every book

Opened 44.5 at DraftKings, Nov 1, 1:47 AM ET. Market now: 46.5 total.

Total moves, in order

1. 47.5 → 44.5: FanDuel moved first, Nov 1, 10:00 AM ET.
   Followed by Fanatics (within a minute), Hard Rock Bet (8h 2m later).
2. 44.5 → 43.5: ESPN BET moved first, Nov 1, 4:50 PM ET.
   Followed by DraftKings (1h 24m later), FanDuel (1h 24m later), Fanatics (1h 24m later), Fliff (1h 24m later), Caesars (1h 24m later), BetMGM (1h 24m later), betPARX (2h 25m later), Bally Bet (2h 25m later), BetRivers (2h 25m later), Hard Rock Bet (2h 25m later).
3. 43.5 → 44.5: ESPN BET moved first, Nov 1, 5:20 PM ET.
   Followed by FanDuel (44h 14m later), BetMGM (44h 20m later), betPARX (44h 44m later), Bally Bet (44h 44m later), Fanatics (2 days later), DraftKings (2 days later), Fliff (2 days later), Caesars (2 days later).
4. 43.5 → 43: Fanatics moved first, Nov 2, 12:16 PM ET.
   Followed by Caesars (24h 6m later).
5. 43 → 43.5: Fanatics moved first, Nov 2, 12:34 PM ET.
   Followed by BetRivers (48 min later), Hard Rock Bet (48 min later), Caesars (4h 48m later), DraftKings (21h 24m later), BetMGM (21h 25m later).
6. 43.5 → 42.5: BetRivers moved first, Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET.
   Followed by Hard Rock Bet (within a minute), BetMGM (within a minute), DraftKings (2h 11m later), Caesars (2h 23m later), FanDuel (22h 54m later).
7. 43.5 → 44: Fanatics moved first, Nov 3, 1:35 PM ET.
   Followed by Caesars (5 min later).
8. 43.5 → 44.5: betPARX moved first, Nov 4, 5:23 PM ET.
   Followed by Bally Bet (within a minute), BetRivers (within a minute), Hard Rock Bet (within a minute).
9. 44.5 → 45.5: DraftKings moved first, Nov 4, 6:48 PM ET.
   Followed by ESPN BET (within a minute), Fanatics (5 min later), Caesars (5 min later), Fliff (59 min later), FanDuel (2h 54m later), BetMGM (14h 22m later), betPARX (17h 40m later), Bally Bet (17h 40m later), BetRivers (17h 40m later), Hard Rock Bet (19h 28m later).
10. 44.5 → 45: Fanatics moved first, Nov 4, 6:48 PM ET.
    Followed by Caesars (within a minute).
11. 45.5 → 46.5: betPARX moved first, Nov 5, 2:23 PM ET.
    Followed by Bally Bet (within a minute), BetRivers (within a minute), Hard Rock Bet (within a minute), FanDuel (1h 31m later), Fanatics (4h 36m later), ESPN BET (4h 36m later), Fliff (4h 36m later), BetMGM (4h 36m later), DraftKings (6h 32m later), Caesars (7h 28m later).

Moneyline: sportsbooks, exchanges and prediction markets

Best TCU Horned Frogs price: +240 at DraftKings. Best Arizona Wildcats price: -294 at DraftKings. ProphetX with the margin removed: TCU Horned Frogs 27.6%, Arizona Wildcats 72.4%.

Implied probability includes each venue's margin. Exchange and prediction-market prices are before their fees. Every College Football game: prediction markets vs sportsbooks.