South Florida Bulls at East Carolina Pirates line history

Spread: opener vs now at every book

Opened South Florida Bulls -1.5 at DraftKings, Nov 1, 1:47 AM ET. Market now: East Carolina Pirates -2.5.

Spread moves, in order

1. South Florida Bulls -1.5 → East Carolina Pirates -1: Fanatics moved first, Nov 1, 3:21 PM ET.
   Followed by BetMGM (5 min later).
2. South Florida Bulls -1.5 → East Carolina Pirates -1.5: ESPN BET moved first, Nov 1, 3:21 PM ET.
   Followed by DraftKings (5 min later), FanDuel (5 min later), Fanatics (11 min later), Caesars (17 min later), BetMGM (1h 17m later), betPARX (2h 47m later), BetRivers (2h 47m later), Bally Bet (2h 47m later).
3. East Carolina Pirates -1.5 → East Carolina Pirates -2.5: ESPN BET moved first, Nov 1, 7:22 PM ET.
   Followed by Hard Rock Bet (44h later), DraftKings (2 days later), Caesars (2 days later), FanDuel (2 days later), Fanatics (2 days later), BetMGM (2 days later).
4. East Carolina Pirates -2.5 → East Carolina Pirates -1.5: ESPN BET moved first, Nov 2, 12:16 AM ET.
   Followed by Fanatics (16h 42m later), DraftKings (2 days later).
5. East Carolina Pirates -1.5 → East Carolina Pirates -2: Fanatics moved first, Nov 2, 3:16 AM ET.
   Followed by BetMGM (3h 12m later), betPARX (36h 7m later), BetRivers (36h 7m later), Bally Bet (36h 7m later), Caesars (2 days later).

Total: opener vs now at every book

Opened 45.5 at DraftKings, Nov 1, 1:47 AM ET. Market now: 39.5 total.

Total moves, in order

1. 45.5 → 44.5: FanDuel moved first, Nov 1, 12:34 PM ET.
   Followed by DraftKings (12 min later), Fanatics (17 min later), ESPN BET (17 min later).
2. 44.5 → 42.5: DraftKings moved first, Nov 1, 1:22 PM ET.
   Followed by Fanatics (within a minute), ESPN BET (within a minute), FanDuel (within a minute).
3. 42.5 → 41.5: Fanatics moved first, Nov 1, 1:34 PM ET.
   Followed by Caesars (49 min later), FanDuel (1h 27m later), ESPN BET (1h 46m later), DraftKings (1h 51m later), BetMGM (1h 51m later).
4. 45.5 → 43.5: betPARX moved first, Nov 1, 2:39 PM ET.
   Followed by BetRivers (within a minute), Bally Bet (within a minute), Hard Rock Bet (within a minute).
5. 41.5 → 40.5: FanDuel moved first, Nov 1, 3:33 PM ET.
   Followed by BetMGM (within a minute), Fanatics (5 min later), Caesars (48 min later), DraftKings (1h 17m later), ESPN BET (1h 17m later), betPARX (2h 35m later), BetRivers (2h 35m later), Bally Bet (2h 35m later), Hard Rock Bet (2h 35m later).
6. 40.5 → 39.5: ESPN BET moved first, Nov 2, 12:52 PM ET.
   Followed by FanDuel (within a minute), DraftKings (5 min later), Fanatics (5 min later), betPARX (5 min later), BetRivers (5 min later), Bally Bet (5 min later), Hard Rock Bet (5 min later), Caesars (5 min later), BetMGM (5 min later).
7. 39.5 → 38.5: ESPN BET moved first, Nov 2, 2:46 PM ET.
   Followed by BetRivers (2 days later), Bally Bet (2 days later), Hard Rock Bet (2 days later), betPARX (2 days later).
8. 38.5 → 39.5: betPARX moved first, Nov 6, 1:58 AM ET.
   Followed by BetRivers (within a minute), Bally Bet (within a minute), Hard Rock Bet (within a minute), Caesars (within a minute).

Moneyline: sportsbooks, exchanges and prediction markets

Best South Florida Bulls price: +115 at BetMGM. Best East Carolina Pirates price: -130 at Fanatics. Novig with the margin removed: South Florida Bulls 44.3%, East Carolina Pirates 55.7%.

Implied probability includes each venue's margin. Exchange and prediction-market prices are before their fees. Every College Football game: prediction markets vs sportsbooks.